Exit strategy to War on Marijuana?
This will probably go under the radar, with Rove, Clement, etc., but I was surprised to read today that Attorney General Gonzales has significantly changed the direction of America's War on Drugs....
View ArticleSenate 2008
Democrats are in a good position to pick up a few seats in 2006, but getting to 51 seems more likely by 2008. Here's an early rundown of the seats we need to hold, and those we stand to take. To start...
View ArticleGun idiocy
A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms shall not be infringed. Ever hear someone say, "I support the 2nd Amendment"?...
View ArticleGrassley: Bush "listening to WalMart " on meth
As the GOP alliance between the White House and Congress continues to break down, Republican Senators are increasingly willing to criticize the president. Today Bush rolled out his...
View ArticleGovernor 2006 (Defense)
2006 is looking to be a good year for us, with possibly 3-5 Senate pickups and a dozen house pickups (gerrmandering has hurt our chances there). However, the biggest revolution brewing is in the...
View ArticleGovernor 2006 (Offense)
A followup to yesterday's diary (which listed our governors and open seats we must defend), this one will examine the governor races we will be challenging the Republicans for in 2006.
View ArticleBlack people aren't homophobes
Stop saying it. Please. Nearly every time gay marriage comes up, someone proposes we just "drop" the issue (or actively campaign against it), because it supposedly doesn't play well with...
View Article2006 Gov. Elections: A blowout in the making?
There are 28 states with Republican governors, and 22 states with Democratic governors, unchanged since 2003. However, 2006 is looking to be a Democratic sweep, with as much as a +14 Democratic gain.
View ArticleProhibitionist idiots at it again
In their unending quest to save young adults from themselves, the West Virginia Alcohol Beverage Control Administration has taken it upon themselves to ban grain alcohol, joining at least a dozen other...
View ArticleCourt overturns conviction in newborn death
Tayshea Aiwohi was convicted of manslaughter in the death of her newborn son after it was revealed that she had smoked methamphetamine during her pregnancy. The case rallied the usual pro-choice and...
View ArticlePoll: Menendez leads Kean Jr. by 4
According to a new Rasmussen poll, Menendez leads Kean Jr. 38-34%, despite Menendez having lower favorables and higher unfavorables than Kean Jr. Both have equal name recognition, at 51%....
View ArticleNagin gets a strong Dem challenger
Louisiana Lt. Governor Mitch Landrieu (D) will run against New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin, in the election to be held on April 22. Mitch Landrieu is the younger brother of Senator Mary Landrieu and the...
View ArticleHI-02: Free For All
Conservative Rep. Ed Case (D, HI-02) shook up Hawaii politics when he announced he would challenge the more liberal Sen. Akaka (D-HI) in a primary. However, the real shakeup is not in the Senate...
View ArticleHI-02: News and numbers
Last month I diaried the politicians angling to replace Blue Dog Democratic Rep. Ed Case (HI-02), who is retiring after four years in the House to launch a suicidal primary challenge against Senator...
View ArticleAmazing polls going under the radar
As the NSA wiretapping scandal heats up, and rumors of Karl Rove's pending indictment swirl, a lot of election polls that would usually get frontpaged by themselves are not getting the attention they...
View ArticleMD-Sen: Mfume's fundraising plummets
Bad news for Maryland Senate hopefull Kweisi Mfume. His fundraising is, well terrible for someone who actually is polling pretty well. This past quarter's numbers: Ben Cardin (D): raised $925,000,...
View ArticlePoliticians and Marijuana
It's official: Alaska Governor Frank Murkowski (R) just suffered one of the worst primary defeats ever, getting only 19% of the vote, coming in third to Sarah Palin (51%) and John Binkley (30%). On...
View ArticleHI-02: Updates and thoughts
It's been awhile since I last diaried the open Congressional seat in Hawaii's second district. A lot has changed since then. Duke Bainum (D), Mike Gabbard (R), and Peter Carlisle (potential R) never...
View ArticleHI-Sen: Chamber of Commerce runs ads for Ed Case
To the few remaining supporters of DINO Rep. Ed Case (HI-02), consider that the US Chamber of Commerce is running ads on his behalf in the Democratic Senate primary, where he is challenging incumbent...
View ArticleHawaii Republicans decimated: UPDATE
Bad night for Hawaii Republicans. Yes, they got their governor re-elected (which was never in doubt), but came up short in the open HI-02 seat by nearly 30%. They didn't make a dent on Sen. Akaka,...
View ArticleRep. Andrews (D-NJ) to primary Sen. Lautenberg
Senator Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ) had retired in 2000, but came back in 2002 to hold the seat of Sen. Torricelli, who had sank under corruption charges. Apparently Representative Rob Andrews (NJ-01)...
View ArticleOregon delegate predictions
Inspired by the comprehensive delegate predictions done for PA, NC, and IN, I'll try my hand at Oregon. Oregon has 52 pledged delegates to award on its May 20 contest. They break down as follows (from...
View ArticleKentucky Delegate Predictions
Yesterday I gave Oregon a try, today I'll try Kentucky, which votes on the same day. Kentucky has 51 pledged delegates to award on its May 20 contest. They break down as follows (from the Green...
View ArticleWV, MT, and SD delegate predictions
A while back I broke down the likely delegate splits in Oregon and in Kentucky, now I'll take a look at the remaining states West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota. I'll start with West Virginia,...
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Just get it out of your systems already
I was an Obama supporter from the start. But that didn't mean I didn't respect John Edwards. I believe that just as Hillary Clinton made Obama a better campaigner, Edwards made both of them step up...
View ArticleHawaii Primary results
So the low-key Hawaii primary was yesterday, not much of note to report at the federal level. Neither our Senators nor our governor is up this year, and our Representatives are firmly entrenched. The...
View ArticleEarly 2010 Governor outlook
2006 was a momentous year in gubernatorial races. Democrats picked up 5 open Republican-held seats (NY, MA, OH, AR, CO) and also knocked off one GOP incumbent (MD), while holding all of their seats...
View ArticleStunning diary on redstate rec-list
It's been a rather busy time recently, with the auto companies, Blago, and Minnesota, but something else has happened, something truly shocking. Some of us occasionally check out what the opposition...
View ArticleObama district in Oklahoma
So I was mucking around in dave's redistricting app and thought it would be funny to try to make an Obama district in Oklahoma, a state he lost 34-66% (his worst in the whole country). Rather than...
View ArticleTheoretical 6-1 Colorado map
A while back, I tried my hand at a 5-2 CO map on swingstateproject.com. As hilarious as I find that U-shaped rural vote-sink to be, I look back and I realize I could have done better and shot for the...
View ArticleMy attempt at a 7-1 Minnesota gerrymander
Continuing the pattern of diaries detailing theoretical gerrymanders (partly for amusement, partly to illustrate the power of redistricting), I thought I'd take a shot at doing a proper 7-1 Minnesota...
View ArticleYet another Maryland Dem map
Maryland has probably been the most popular state to tackle by the redistricting aficionados on SwingStateProject (now Daily Kos Elections). Unlike many other states where our maps are basically...
View ArticleMy final Maryland 8-0 map
Sorry to add yet another Maryland gerrymander to the cluster that dominated the Daily Kos Elections bar this past week, but with the Maryland legislature looking to pick the new maps pretty soon (and...
View ArticleA fair, status quo New York map
With New York's state Assembly Democratic-controlled (as always) and its state Senate having reverted to form with a GOP majority (albeit very narrowly) the assumption is that the state's new...
View ArticleFantasy Ohio Dem gerrymander
With Ohio being a popular state to redistrict now that the GOP's proposed 12-4 gerrymander is at high risk of being overturned via referendum, I thought I'd make my contribution. Instead of being a...
View Article26-1 New York map *Updated*
I've written before of my frustration with incumbent-protection maps, particularly in states where Republicans are over-extended (holding many more marginal seats than Democrats are). New York is a...
View ArticleA fair North Carolina map
The new congressional map of North Carolina is a very effective GOP gerrymander, cracking cities and counties and drawing tendril districts whenever needed to best pack Democrats into just three seats...
View ArticleThe path back to a House majority
First thing to know: it's really tough. Redistricting alone won't help Republicans expand their majority, but they were able to shore up quite a few vulnerable incumbents that would be toast in...
View ArticleDoes the electoral college hurt Dems?
In 2000, half a million more Americans voted for Al Gore than George W. Bush, yet through the math of the electoral college, Bush became president. Is this a likely occurrence in the event of a close...
View ArticleHouse election predictions
Will we gain the net 25 seats we need to to take back control? Perhaps. If Obama does indeed crush Romney (potentially by an even greater margin than he beat McCain by, if some of these recent polls...
View ArticleMarijuana legalization: something is happening
Add Pew Research to the list of pollsters finding a majority of Americans supporting marijuana legalization, something that would have been unthinkable just a few short years ago. They found support...
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Where have the Blue Dogs gone? (and what it means for the Democratic Party's...
Rep. Mike McIntyre, one of the last remaining Blue Dogs, will retire at the end of this term Following the 2008 elections, congressional Democrats entered a historic session, controlling the House 257...
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How Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie lost his primary by 36 points
State Senator David IgeGovernor Neil Abercrombie Incumbents lose primaries for a variety of reasons—crime, scandal, or when they face unfamiliar voters. Maybe they get outspent, maybe a more powerful...
View ArticleLegislative and down-ballot elections liveblog
Had enough wall-to-wall coverage of this year's big Governor, Senate, and House elections? What about other critical down-ballot offices like Attorney General, Lieutenant Governor, and Secretary of...
View ArticleDK Elections Policy Weekly Open Thread: What Issues Are You Interested In?
Glitch Mob - "I Need My Memory Back" - 2014Welcome to the weekly open thread for policy discussions by DK Elections regulars. While the main Daily Kos Elections blog, an official subsite of Daily Kos,...
View ArticleDK Elections Policy Holiday Open Thread: What Issues Are You Interested In?
S U R V I V E - "Hourglass" - 2012Welcome to the weekly open thread for policy discussions by DK Elections regulars. While the main Daily Kos Elections blog, an official subsite of Daily Kos, is...
View ArticleDK Elections Policy Weekly Open Thread: What Issues Are You Interested In?
Björk - "Army of Me" - 1995Welcome to the weekly open thread for policy discussions by DK Elections regulars. While the main Daily Kos Elections blog, an official subsite of Daily Kos, is strictly a...
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A Tale of Two Colorados: 2004 to 2016
I thought it would be interesting to compare 2004 to 2016, as a pre and post-Obama look at the electoral landscape. The immediate 2012-2016 trend shows a total collapse in white rural America, but...
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The Problem With Polling
Over the past month I’ve posted a lot of my concern and frustration with how polling is reported and debated by the Dailykos Elections (DKE) community. In short: People are taking polls, just about...
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The Popular Vote: 2004 vs 2016
Much has been written on the 2016 failure of the “blue wall”, the grouping of swing states Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania which Hillary Clinton narrowly lost. This allowed Trump an electoral...
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